Detroit Tigers -1
Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers
Edge
Friendly alt spread at 48.1% implied (target 62%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Detroit Tigers → home spread.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-spread surface, home-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Final · Grading detail
Chicago White Sox1
Detroit Tigers4
Winner: Detroit Tigers · 2026-06-20
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
+115
2.1500
Closing
+154
2.5400
Delta
-15.35%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#1239
UUID63d36497-69af-4a46-9827-ed0813bf7b51
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-06-20 15:56 UTC
Graded2026-06-20 19:30 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824263:2026-06-20T17:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash1bb473ee9a0af5629502cf0f2441358e6c9c2e9f8fcac91690f8fe4b259f25d9
Closing line+154 captured 2026-06-20 17:11 UTC
CLV delta-15.35%
Closing hashb9979d76a4c4cf806eb243babed991e82a1fbbf8675ff3aef5dc3dd6627fe851
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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