Under 10
Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers
Edge
Friendly alt under at 63.0% implied (target 62%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: neutral vegas band, both rungs tied at 63.0% — Under wins on vig-asymmetry research.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-total surface, under-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Final · Grading detail
Chicago White Sox1
Detroit Tigers4
Winner: Detroit Tigers · 2026-06-20
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-170
1.5882
Closing
-115
1.8696
Delta
-15.05%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#1240
UUIDd1b61b52-6201-4e65-a216-5a21dc6e9b5d
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-06-20 15:56 UTC
Graded2026-06-20 19:35 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824263:2026-06-20T17:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash9d34d7c8cc8b6932a9d72f2ea7c13821959aabb81d6f11fd388b0526687c8825
Closing line-115 captured 2026-06-20 17:11 UTC
CLV delta-15.05%
Closing hash33b8117ea2866f9c375064d3d39004c66363653bb1e881b99a8db50c849c5bf3
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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