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mlbAlt PlayerProp.2026-07-26🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED d82844c7

Wyatt Langford Over 0.5 Hits

Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers

-210risk0.15u→win0.07u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

0.15u

Odds

-210

Closing

-210

CLV

0.00%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 67.7% implied → +18.9pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (bovada)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
Seattle Mariners6
Texas Rangers4
Winner: Seattle Mariners · 2026-07-26
Model Record (30d)
prop-edge-v2Trailing 30-day window
Picks
23
Settled
22
Hit rate
63.6%
14-8
ROI
-0.21%
-0.01u
CLV avg
+0.88%
n=22
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (22 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (17)

CLV math

Posted
-210
1.4762
Closing
-210
1.4762
Delta
0.00%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1563
UUIDa36e09de-2098-40d8-a62a-aa8e5e0162a2
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-07-26 16:59 UTC
Graded2026-07-26 22:15 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashd82844c7895ac2c86c8c906875a21e86bb97f372c49bfee8f2bfc962e87ea4e7
Closing line-210 captured 2026-07-26 17:11 UTC
CLV delta+0.00%
Closing hash2dd017f3877c8a2229b3d384beae6bd165d0b4b484de776dc6bc8019f668908c

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.5% hashed
    1,136 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close61.9% closed
    1,119 settled picks · 61.9% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public17 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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