Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 Hits
Colorado Rockies @ Philadelphia Phillies
-235PENDING
Edge
Empirical 95.7% over last 15 games vs 70.1% implied → +25.5pt EV.
Signal
Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (fanduel)
Risk
Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25.
Audit trail
Pick ID#632
UUID2a51a208-762f-4f36-99c7-0cf3d4e77916
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-09 22:49 UTC
Gradedpending
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashde9599c5a80043fc2c296b4669a12ddb8043260dba9cf4eff341017caa37122c
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