Over 1.5
D.C. United @ Nashville SC
Edge
Friendly alt over at 77.0% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLS alt-total surface, over-side at friendly rung (ref: 26802b)
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Related Picks (12)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#652
UUID06a4a9c1-7fc3-4e77-9eee-04a02c4ae06c
Surfacesharp_degraded:MLS
Posted2026-05-10 00:45 UTC
Graded2026-05-10 03:35 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashe1bb6fc31000d7bae4c91e65686fc178118272e977cac3bd89b5e25361cb5b83
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Why this receipt is trustable
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