Under 12
St. Louis Cardinals @ Athletics
Edge
Friendly alt under at 71.0% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: neutral vegas band, both rungs tied at 71.0% — Under wins on vig-asymmetry research.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-total surface, under-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Audit trail
Pick ID#744
UUID4ba7ecc2-6e93-4e60-9600-d2319c439ac8
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-14 17:51 UTC
Graded2026-05-14 22:14 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:825008:2026-05-14T19:05:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashce1f370a7587bbfd75907a7188d442c558735510b06d0a8120f65caba9712e4f
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