Philadelphia Phillies +2
Philadelphia Phillies @ Boston Red Sox
Edge
Friendly alt spread at 78.2% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Philadelphia Phillies → away spread.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-spread surface, away-side at friendly rung (ref: 1caa36)
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing. · elite-gate: n=15 < min 30
Final · Grading detail
Philadelphia Phillies3
Boston Red Sox1
Winner: Philadelphia Phillies · 2026-05-14
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#745
UUID0526d658-df72-406d-9539-92649ef7e37f
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-14 21:31 UTC
Graded2026-05-15 01:49 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824762:2026-05-14T22:45:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash5b863b50fd6dee8833c664e962a178d2e278b065209e6d001bbea8692bea9ae7
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Why this receipt is trustable
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