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mlbAlt PlayerProp.2026-09-19🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 84f56c01

Max Clark Over 0.5 Hits

Detroit Tigers @ CHI White Sox

-163risk0.12u→win0.07u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

0.12u

Odds

-163

Closing

-163

CLV

0.00%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 80.8% over last 15 games vs 62.0% implied → +18.8pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (draftkings)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
Detroit Tigers1
Chicago White Sox3
Winner: Chicago White Sox · 2026-09-19
Model Record (30d)
prop-edge-v2-handed-fallback-parkTrailing 30-day window
Picks
6
Settled
6
Hit rate
60.0%
3-2
ROI
-5.75%
-0.04u
CLV avg
+0.22%
n=5
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (6 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-163
1.6135
Closing
-163
1.6135
Delta
0.00%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#11626
UUIDaf7154a0-e2ac-4a3b-8a7a-f08c3e10d70b
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-09-19 18:07 UTC
Graded2026-09-19 21:15 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash84f56c01d25445ab24f47a19c145e13135ef0468cea4a9d7a1148f10f30b13d2
Closing line-163 captured 2026-09-19 18:22 UTC
CLV delta+0.00%
Closing hash05eb552e398a37bdba755391ce347a6daa39ba4213bec9a2719194083dbe0bff

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger78.1% hashed
    1,376 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close65.8% closed
    1,374 settled picks · 65.8% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public2 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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