Skip to main content
NuroPicksAlpha
Today···Model 30d···0 LIVE
start
← back to record
mlbAlt PlayerProp.2026-07-18🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 399e82cf

Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Hits

San Francisco Giants @ Seattle Mariners

-194risk0.15u→win0.08u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

0.15u

Odds

-194

Closing

-173

CLV

-3.97%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 66.0% implied → +20.7pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (draftkings)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
San Francisco Giants3
Seattle Mariners4
Winner: Seattle Mariners · 2026-07-18
Model Record (30d)
prop-edge-v2Trailing 30-day window
Picks
23
Settled
23
Hit rate
60.9%
14-9
ROI
-4.96%
-0.17u
CLV avg
+0.96%
n=23
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (23 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (19)

CLV math

Posted
-194
1.5155
Closing
-173
1.5780
Delta
-3.97%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1436
UUIDf5e377da-8e16-4bad-97a1-386bdf1900ff
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-07-18 15:19 UTC
Graded2026-07-19 03:35 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash399e82cf6c360d5f50b45245c7cc838c1eefeaeaf28ab4a041ca70c4ba52ac1c
Closing line-173 captured 2026-07-18 22:51 UTC
CLV delta-3.97%
Closing hash9451a4b4a8b21332bf6bae35f998878f8041439d230237482cc69edfd1b5ca8d

Share this receipt

Post to X 

Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
    1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.0% closed
    1,123 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public14 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801