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nbaMoneyline.2026-05-07◆◆◆◇◇Nuro Edge 6.0LOCKED fa24a48b

San Antonio Spurs ML

Minnesota Timberwolves @ San Antonio Spurs

-395risk1uwin0.25u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-395

Closing

-425

CLV

+1.45%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: draftkings)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

NBA Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.

Final · Grading detail
Minnesota Timberwolves95
San Antonio Spurs133
Winner: San Antonio Spurs · 2026-05-06
Related Picks (16)

CLV math

Posted
-395
1.2532
Closing
-425
1.2353
Delta
+1.45%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#499
UUID23226263-12fd-43eb-916c-c4c4ae556066
Surfacesharp:NBA
Posted2026-05-07 01:10 UTC
Graded2026-05-07 04:23 UTC
Lineup confirmnba:proximity:2026-05-07T01:40:00.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashfa24a48b5a633327101923e40468022f9c6ebd02b1c08838773229e6638b571e
Closing line-425 captured 2026-05-07 01:40 UTC
CLV delta+1.45%
Closing hash157c117db80b7b7caf8a1d3bdb76258c92df9d2525600fdfcee0ced784ec7dd4

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
    1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.0% closed
    1,125 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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