Over 2.5
Sporting Kansas City @ Portland Timbers
Edge
Friendly alt over at 73.5% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLS alt-total surface, over-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Audit trail
Pick ID#656
UUID73c208ec-a6f0-4694-9ff2-676411bad947
Surfacesharp_degraded:MLS
Posted2026-05-10 02:00 UTC
Gradedpending
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashbd6501baca8c0ae347a66f0c6c47bd4ce8dfa7ab211d1b472560bd9ab5d33c54
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