Seattle Mariners +2
Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros
Edge
Friendly alt spread at 75.6% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Seattle Mariners → away spread.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-spread surface, away-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing. · elite-gate: n=15 < min 30
Final · Grading detail
Seattle Mariners8
Houston Astros3
Winner: Seattle Mariners · 2026-05-14
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#740
UUIDa8b648e9-eade-4ca3-830a-b316537220aa
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-14 17:41 UTC
Graded2026-05-14 21:09 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824196:2026-05-14T18:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashdd9bede9b9b61487224ebbfcfac8d8b0743611f1a7ae1378221b6c10f999b811
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Why this receipt is trustable
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