Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies
Edge
Friendly alt spread at 73.3% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Arizona Diamondbacks → away spread.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-spread surface, away-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Final · Grading detail
Arizona Diamondbacks2
Colorado Rockies4
Winner: Colorado Rockies · 2026-05-16
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#793
UUID71d57197-899b-46c7-ae1d-620c3a9d156f
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-16 18:41 UTC
Graded2026-05-16 22:28 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824359:2026-05-16T19:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash1e6b0b6eaa495cf3b3778047dcf2089198aacc68a02031e06d86132481026712
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Why this receipt is trustable
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- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
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