OG Anunoby Over 12.5 Points
New York Knicks @ Philadelphia 76ers
-275risk0.19u→win0.07uVOID
Edge
Empirical 93.3% over last 15 games vs 73.3% implied → +20.0pt EV.
Signal
Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (fanatics) (ref: 87a6ac)
Risk
Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25.
Game context
Context signals
- +20.0pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #20 vs this prop (-5.7% vs league avg over 181 games)
- 93.3% over last 15 games
Model Record (30d)
prop-edge-v2Trailing 30-day window
Picks
23
Settled
23
Hit rate
60.9%
14-9
ROI
-4.96%
-0.17u
CLV avg
+0.96%
n=23
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (23 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#517
UUID6558bca3-5f3c-4e11-906d-4894a4ec0ec3
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-07 21:12 UTC
Graded2026-05-09 23:15 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashb8f1bda25dd96df576aa2026ddf827b3c8828786866aa80810bb37168ce6dfa7
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Why this receipt is trustable
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