Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5
San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Edge
Friendly alt spread at 64.9% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Arizona Diamondbacks → home spread.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-spread surface, home-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Final · Grading detail
San Francisco Giants3
Arizona Diamondbacks6
Winner: Arizona Diamondbacks · 2026-05-20
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-184
1.5435
Closing
-178
1.5618
Delta
-1.17%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#990
UUIDde6d13cf-ddb4-4934-8115-0bc5c054883c
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-20 19:11 UTC
Graded2026-05-20 22:07 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:825084:2026-05-20T19:40:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash33c6367c9f16ab0ee00ca3793c879350153ef689aba0c553cc1a4221d4416c07
Closing line-178 captured 2026-05-20 19:42 UTC
CLV delta-1.17%
Closing hash7a047e0bc3e53f0eab4b357e0c40937cb1406bb9ca68668914dc72e077b7bda6
Share this receipt
Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).
NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801