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nbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-05-22🔒Pro◆◆◆◆Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED a921146d

OG Anunoby Over 13.5 Points

New York Knicks @ Cleveland Cavaliers

-165risk0.12uwin0.07u
WIN

Stake

0.12u

Odds

-165

Closing

-165

CLV

0.00%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 62.3% implied → +17.7pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

NBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (fanatics)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: roi=-7.5% < min 0%

Game context

Context signals

  • +17.7pt EV vs implied
  • Opp ranks #2 vs this prop (+10.2% vs league avg over 166 games)
  • 80.0% over last 15 games

Line movement

-165-1650.00 dec
Model Record (30d)
prop-edge-v2Trailing 30-day window
Picks
23
Settled
23
Hit rate
60.9%
14-9
ROI
-4.96%
-0.17u
CLV avg
+0.96%
n=23
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (23 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (15)

CLV math

Posted
-165
1.6061
Closing
-165
1.6061
Delta
0.00%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1007
UUIDce2024f9-3b63-403e-8043-15cd7e991c98
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-22 20:30 UTC
Graded2026-05-24 03:35 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hasha921146d82f2e5ed2e43565e0792b90975a1ca2695b5dc71ddf8637210eafed7
Closing line-165 captured 2026-05-23 22:40 UTC
CLV delta+0.00%
Closing hash0820a3011d4c506f9a434f54d4189586ff2de4fc56f7d744b7e493dbf8db3683

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
    1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.0% closed
    1,126 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public11 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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